Cheltenham (UK) Carnival Day 1
Khyber Kim, in the Champions hurdle will be hard to beat if it lives up to its best form. Available around $10 (9-1) . Won at Cheltenham earlier this season. Good each way chance.![]()
sports betting tips and advice - using betfair
Khyber Kim, in the Champions hurdle will be hard to beat if it lives up to its best form. Available around $10 (9-1) . Won at Cheltenham earlier this season. Good each way chance.![]()
Big race in HK this weekend is the HK Derby and it is a hot race and if the price is right we fancy one called Fair Trade, anything bigger than $5 (4-1) would be good. Unbeaten twice in Oz, unbeaten in HK at 1400m, stepping up to 2000m, big chance.
Will again follow the horses from last week that didn't get to run because of the weather. Estee in Race 5 at Flemington should be around 10's or better, and Sirmione in the Australian Cup should be around 8's.
In addition will have a bet on Fordee, riden by Peter Mertens, in Race 2![]()
In today's Adelaide Cup would of backed Montahlia but it has been scratched. Will instead back the Patrick Payne trained duo of Capecover and Kerdem.
Will back Duporth each way in the Newmarket, Sirmione in the Australian Cup and Estee in the last on Super Saturday.![]()
Sacred Kingdom at $3.80 to win the Golden Jubilee tonight. Big reports coming out of HK about how well it has settled and worked in the UK. A HK horse Cape of Good Hope won this race 4 or 5 years ago and this one is rated higher and has won more group 1's so has a good chance.![]()
Interesting race in Singapore for the sprint Group1 this weekend. Aussie bookmakers make Takeover Target (who has won at Royal Ascot and it’s last 2 group 1s in Australia) 8/11 favourite and Rocket Man (the local Singapore horse who is unbeaten in 8 runs) 6-1.
Watched Rocket Man last win and it wins easily but it is Singapore form and I imagine on day the locals will back it to win on the local tote so the odds of the foreign horses will go out.
Takeover Target’s win in the group 1 TJ Smith was very impressive and if it repeats that form will be hard to beat even though it’s subsequent Group 1 win was less impressive. On a strict reading of the form it holds many of these. It beat Apache Cat by 3 to 4 lengths and Apache Cat was only just beat by Inspiration in Hong Kong in December. Inspiration has since won a group 1 at 1000 meters in Hong Kong and did it nicely. 2 years ago Sacred Kingdom was the top rated sprinter in the world but has been injured since. It has taken a while to come to hand since but just scraped home in a group 2 last time at 1200 meters and the connections think it will come on for that, and it had Inspiration back in 3rd though it was receiving 3lbs that day. Waikato was beat by Takeover Target in this last year.
Prime Defender’s win at Haydock looks very average as it plugged on. Diabolical’s run in Dubai is hard to assess as it was on dirt, it was well beat but it is a Godolphin horse so could be open to improvement back on turf.
The tip. Takeover Target won this race last year. If it goes off at bigger than 2-1 then it is a good bet. Inspiration maybe the best of the rest.
A little unlucky Friday night at Chester with Johnny Murtagh being heavily criticised for his ride on Frozen Fire. You can read the story here.
Today we will try and win our money back at Canterbury were we have heard a whisper that Kelconi Race 5 No. 5 will run an improved race compared to recent form. Should be at reasonable odds and worth a small each way bet.
Happy Punting![]()
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