AFL - Round 17

It's hard to go past all the favourites this weekend in the AFL.

It's hard to go past Geelong when they are playing in Geelong. Saying that they are playing a pretty good team in Adelaide today. But interstate teams playing at Skilled stadium generally fall to pieces so to add some value into the Cats we will back Geelong at $1.98 on betfair to win by more than 25.5 points.

Must say though the Western Bulldogs at $1.05 certainly doesn't offer any value. Although they should win easy today there is no point backing them at that price. If you were planing a bet in this match why not take Fremantle at $1.80 on betfair with a 54.5 point start - this would make watching this game more interesting.

The value bet of the round could be Brisbane to win at $3.55 on betfair to defeat Collingwood.

StKilda should be too good for Sydney in Sydney but this game could be closer than most people think so we will have a go at Sydney at $1.88 on betfair with a 35.5 point start.

Don't think Melbourne are too keen on winning too many more matches this year, and still with a game against Fremantle coming up, think they will be happy to use this game as a re-building game for the future. On the other hand Richmond look keen to win as much as they can so backing Richmond to win at $1.27 looks a safe bet.

The last two matches look dangerous with Victorian based teams playing interstate - against opposition who's form fluctuates widely so we will give these games a miss.

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AFL - Round 12 Part II

Although the game is being played at ANZ stadium tonight, and not the SCG, we still think Sydney might upset Collingwood, who are an average side that's overrated by many. Take the $2.20 0n offer for Sydney on betfair.

In the Sunday match, Fremantle came really close to beating Geelong in this corresponding match last year - and were infact unlucky not to win. But although Fremantle are a rabble this year we will back them with a 44.5 point start at $1.85 on betfair.

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AFL - Round 12 Part I Sunday

Hawthorn will be too good for Brisbane Sunday. The game is being played in Tasmania and the boys from the sunshine state will find it tough in the near Arctic conditions of Launceston. Haws to win bu more than 15 points at $2 with betfair.

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AFL - Round 12 Part I

Split round in the AFL this week with 5 games this weekend, and the final 3 matches the following week.

And a very difficult round it is. Of the matches over the weekend it's possible that 3 or 4 outsiders could get up!!!

We will start with the Friday night game and although St Kilda should win it would not surprise if the blues go close - or even got home. Although we think the game will be close throughout with the Saints pulling away late in the game. Will back the Saints with a minus 18.5 start at $1.99. Also we will have a go at Total Match Points being greater than 188.5 at $1.66 with betfair.

Looks like Richmond have finally decided to start tanking for draft choices, dropping 5 older players for this week. I can't believe the tigers are favourites. Lump on West Coast to win at $2.26. Western Bulldogs at $1.30 will be too good for Port Adelaide.

Fancy a bet in the Hawthorn v Brisbane game Sunday but will post again latter in the weekend once markets have developed.

Good luck!!!

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AFL - Round 11

It's been two big winning weekends on the AFL punt in round 8 and 9. Unfortunately due to circumstances outside our control we were not able to post our round 10 selections, so we are all fired up, and all cashed up for this week

Terry's last game so not sure what to expect in the Friday night match this week. Bulldogs back in form but the tigers may come out fighting. You would expect the tigers to put up a bit of a fight (but you never know with Richmond). Anyway for sentimental sake we will have a wager on Richmond with a 24.5 point start at $2.02 at betfair.

In other matches St Kilda at $1.13 will be too good for North Melbourne. Brisbane at home at $1.67 will be too good for Carlton. Who knows what Adelaide team will turn when playing away so we will plonk our money on Essendon at $2.

Hawthorn with minus (-) 15.5 point start is good value at $1.97. Also in this match fancy "Total Match Points" being under 198 but no market depth on betfair as yet.

While Melbourne were 5 goals up against Collingwood last game they played and are now a much better team. So we will finish off the long weekend with a wager on the Melbourne with a 26.5 point start - but will wait to closer to the bounce for the betfair market to mature.

Happy Punting

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AFL - Saturday Round 8

Most games this weekend have a clear favourite but many of the outsiders may go closer than many think and we will have a go at a few of them with taking the points start. North Melbourne have pushed Geeelong in Geelong before and we expect this game to be closer than the walkover most people will expect. Snap up North with a 46.5 point head start at $1.88 with Betfair.

The same goes for Melbourne. We will have a big bet on Melbourne with a 64.5 head start at $1.22, and we will also take some of Melbourne with a 34.5 point head start at $1.91 with Betfair.

Sydney, Brisbane and Port Adelaide all have home ground advantage, and will all start short favourites but all are definitely under the odds. To spice the weekend up we will have a bet on each of the outsiders - Adelaide with a 20.5 point start at $1.92, West Coast with a 23.5 point start at $1.97 and Richmond with a 26.5 point start at $1.83.

All prices from Betfair Australia

Happy Punting

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